Movie Odds this week.....Beerfest, How to Eat Fried Worms, Idlewild, and Invinciable

[Player]

<TABLE id=tblPropFut onmouseover="changeto(event, '#F6C88F')" onmouseout="changeback(event, '#EEEEEE')" cellSpacing=3 cellPadding=0 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR id=ignore0><TD colSpan=3>Movies

</TD></TR><TR id=ignore_a0><TD colSpan=3>Beerfest (res. Aug 25)

</TD></TR><TR class=CT3 id=ignore_b0><TD width="15%">Fri 8/25</TD><TD colSpan=2>Opening 3 day weekend box office for Beerfest</TD></TR><TR class=MBB><TD>09:00 AM</TD><TD class=MBB>303 Over</TD><TD class=MBB width="25%">9 million -150</TD></TR><TR class=MBB><TD width="15%"> </TD><TD class=MBB>304 Under</TD><TD class=MBB width="25%">9 million +134</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE id=tblPropFut onmouseover="changeto(event, '#F6C88F')" onmouseout="changeback(event, '#EEEEEE')" cellSpacing=3 cellPadding=0 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR id=ignore_a1><TD colSpan=3>How to Eat Fried Worms (must res. Aug 25)

</TD></TR><TR class=CT3 id=ignore_b1><TD width="15%">Fri 8/25</TD><TD colSpan=2>Opn 3 day wkd box off. for How to Eat Fried Worms</TD></TR><TR class=MBB><TD>09:00 AM</TD><TD class=MBB>401 Over</TD><TD class=MBB width="25%">5.5 million +130</TD></TR><TR class=MBB><TD width="15%"> </TD><TD class=MBB>402 Under</TD><TD class=MBB width="25%">5.5 million -146</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE id=tblPropFut onmouseover="changeto(event, '#F6C88F')" onmouseout="changeback(event, '#EEEEEE')" cellSpacing=3 cellPadding=0 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR id=ignore_a2><TD colSpan=3>Idlewild (must be res. Aug 25)

</TD></TR><TR class=CT3 id=ignore_b2><TD width="15%">Fri 8/25</TD><TD colSpan=2>Opening 3 day weekend box office for Idlewild</TD></TR><TR class=MBB><TD>09:00 AM</TD><TD class=MBB>503 Over</TD><TD class=MBB width="25%">6 million -183</TD></TR><TR class=MBB><TD width="15%"> </TD><TD class=MBB>504 Under</TD><TD class=MBB width="25%">6 million +167</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE id=tblPropFut onmouseover="changeto(event, '#F6C88F')" onmouseout="changeback(event, '#EEEEEE')" cellSpacing=3 cellPadding=0 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR id=ignore_a3><TD colSpan=3>Invincible (must be res. Aug 25)

</TD></TR><TR class=CT3 id=ignore_b3><TD width="15%">Fri 8/25</TD><TD colSpan=2>Opening 3 day weekend box office for Invincible</TD></TR><TR class=MBB><TD>09:00 AM</TD><TD class=MBB>101 Over</TD><TD class=MBB width="25%">15 million +146</TD></TR><TR class=MBB><TD width="15%"> </TD><TD class=MBB>102 Under</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[shamp]

theater counts

<table><tbody><tr><td class="content" width="200">Beerfest</td> <td class="content" width="100">R</td> <td class="content" width="100">2,800+</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="content" width="200">How to Eat Fried Worms</td> <td class="content" width="100">PG</td> <td class="content" width="100">1,800</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="content" width="200">Idlewild</td> <td class="content" width="100">R</td> <td class="content" width="100">900+</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="content" width="200">Invincible</td> <td class="content" width="100">PG</td> <td class="content" width="100">2,400</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[shamp]

initial impression

I don't know how much Idlewild's screen count might change, but 6 mil seems high with only 900 screens and rated R. Per screen average would have to be high.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

I don't know how much Idlewild's screen count might change, but 6 mil seems high with only 900 screens and rated R. Per screen average would have to be high.

Same initial thoughts...Material Girls made only 4.6 with over 1500 screens....

I'll have my picks on thursday

 

[MAGAking1]

Except for action on worms under , betting has been relatively flat.

These look like the sharpest lines Ive seen as a whole in a while

 

[HuskerFan1]

im sure not according to the 2 donkeys....

i played OVER beerfest 9million at -116 monday night...im sure i got the square line...

its tracking at 11million and 10million at reelsource and mtc...its playing on 2 screens at LBC this weekend....

fwiw, Invincible is on 2 screens Ilde on 2 Beerfest 2 and how to eat fried worms is on 1 screen....thats at LBC

fwiw idlewild CAN go over 6million this weekend...just b/c its in less theatres doesnt mean it CANT go over...MGirls had no hype...bascially left for dead from the distributor...idle has had some decent hype (its got the R rating which will hinder it somewhat)...but unlike MGirls which was on 1 screen last week...Idle is being shown on 2 at LBC...its average will be SIGNIFICANTLY higher than MG thats a certainty...

 

[HuskerFan1]

here is another theatre just to illustrate you cant simple look at theatre count and say oh its an under...i dont know the name of the theatre...but this is what they are showing this weekend....

Openers:
Beerfest - 1 screen (4 showings)
How to Eat Fried Worms - 1 screen (5 showings)
Idlewild - 2 screens (8 showings)
The Illusionist - 1 screen (4 showings)
Invincible - 2 screens (10 showings)


and another...

Crown Annapolis Mall Cinema:

NEW:

Beerfest (4 Showings)
Invincible (4 Showings)

Crown Annapolis Harbour Center:

NEW:

How To Eat Fried Worms (5 Showings)
Idlewild (4 Showings)

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Like the Beerfest play Husker but I like this one better:

Invincible Under 15 Million: $300

Beerfest Over 9 Million:$150


Idlewild has been removed by Pinny!!

HuskerFan whenever you have any other numbers please share...and update us on why yuo think Idlewild has been taken off the board...do you smell an over as I do..

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Idlewild still off the board...anyone on the reason that is? Joe, Husker, Brandon, Magking,anyone...

 

[underdunk]

They're probably wary of the screen count since it might actually be getting ~1500.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Its going over period...Husker good job looking into the matter...i smell over big time...if they put this back up guys:


Put your money on the 6 milliion over...

 

[shamp]

With Idlewild getting all the attention, I like Invincible under 14.5 +105 at TheGreek. Just bought it at +115 before it moved.

Just seems like Idlewild and Beerfest are getting the attention this weekend.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

With Idlewild getting all the attention, I like Invincible under 14.5 +105 at TheGreek. Just bought it at +115 before it moved.

Just seems like Idlewild and Beerfest are getting the attention this weekend.

This why one of the many reasons Im making this my big play...

 

[slick69]

is Idlewind over 6 mill worth -240. I got burned on mat girls under 4.5 mill at -218 last week

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Its up guys and the juice has skyrocketed to -240...This is my 3rd pick of the week:


Idlewild Over 6 Million: Risking $300 (same as Invincible)



Husker do you have any word on what some of the box offices are reporting concerning this movie?

 

[Domer]

Pre-sales not running very strong for Idlewild and the theater count came in at 973

 

[HuskerFan1]

i just got this off the board...i still only have 1 play on over beerfest...i will not lay that kind of juice on idlewood even though it MAY still go over...similar to the last few weeks i just dont have a really strong opinion on these movies right now...its the end of summer people/families are on vacations...the boxoffice receipts are down...

gl whichever way you guys go if i play anything it will be small and ill post...ive given back a LITTLE bit of what i hit on the big ones this spring and summer...im not gonna get out of control trying to get it back...ill sit out and wait for something strong...


<TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=10 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=copy bgColor=#eeeeee>Advance Sales Update 5pm PST

-- notfabio, Aug 24, 20:05
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=copy>14 Invincible
3 Fworm
2 Idlewild
0 Beerfest

Pretty much in line with a teens opening for Invincible.

Every breakout African American skewing film here has had 20+ advance tickets sold the night before, so not encouraging for Idlewild.
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[HuskerFan1]

idlewood already dropped 40cents at pinny...i would expect it to go lower...but im still not sold either way at this point...

 

[Domer]

I wouldn't bet either way right now, Pinnacle is about to readjust the lines back to 8 cents from 15.

 

[Domer]

Well that was fast. Just adjusted back to 8 cents.